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Canada Buyers to Face a Shrinking Pool of Potential Buyers by 2030

Jul 10, 2026
Canada Buyers to Face a Shrinking Pool of Potential Buyers by 2030

By 2030, the US housing market is expected to face a significant shift as the pool of potential buyers shrinks due to a decline in births and immigration. This trend could impact Canada buyers who rely on the US market for investment and supply.

What the numbers show

According to a new white paper from the Mortgage Bankers Association, the US population is projected to start shrinking by 2030 due to a decline in births and immigration. This could lead to a slowdown in household formation and a subsequent increase in housing supply.

What it means for you

As the US housing market shifts, Canada buyers may face increased competition for a shrinking pool of homes. This could lead to lower prices and more opportunities for buyers, but also increased supply and potentially lower demand for Canadian homes.

New housing price index, Canada
Source: Statistics Canada · updated live
121
▲ +17.2% since 2019
12911911010020192020202120222023202420252026
index (2016=100) · monthly · latest May 2026 · hover or touch the chart to explore
Sources
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